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Learning Goal

Part of: Use probability to evaluate outcomes of decisions2 of 3 cluster items

Use probabilities to make fair decisions

HSS.MD.B.6

**HSS.MD.B.6**: (+) Use probabilities to make fair decisions (e.g., drawing by lots, using a random number generator).

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HSS.MD.B.6: (+) Use probabilities to make fair decisions (e.g., drawing by lots, using a random number generator).

What you'll learn

  1. Define a fair decision procedure as one that gives each option or person an equal probability
  2. Design a fair procedure using a physical device (coin, die, drawing lots) for a given number of choices
  3. Design a fair procedure using a random number generator, mapping its output to the choices without bias
  4. Detect and fix unfair procedures, including unequal-probability mappings
  5. Handle the case where the number of choices does not divide the device's outcomes evenly, using a divisible range or rejection sampling, and verify each choice has probability 1/k