Common Core Math - HS Statistics and Probability
Lesson Plan
Decide if a model is consistent with data
Goals / Objectives
Explain what it means for a model to be "consistent with" data, and that a single surprising result is evidence against -- not disproof of -- a model
Design a simulation of a data-generating process under an assumed model by specifying the chance device, one trial, the statistic recorded, and the number of repetitions
Build and read a simulated distribution of a statistic under an assumed model
Locate an observed result within the simulated distribution and judge whether it is typical or surprising
Decide, with justification grounded in the simulated distribution, whether observed data gives reason to question the specified model
Standards
HSS.IC.A.2
HSS.IC.A.2: Decide if a specified model is consistent with results from a given data-generating process, e.g., using simulation. For example, a model says a spinning coin falls heads up with probability 0.5. Would a result of 5 tails in a row cause you to question the model?
Academic Vocabulary
Not in our source material
Materials
Enrichment
Accommodations
Not in our source material