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Learning Goal

Part of: Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a uniform probability model1 of 4 cluster items

Find conditional probability from a model

HSS.CP.B.6

**HSS.CP.B.6**: Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.

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HSS.CP.B.6: Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B's outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model.

What you'll learn

  1. Compute P(A | B) in a uniform model by restricting to B's outcomes and finding the fraction of them that also belong to A
  2. Connect the counting approach, |A and B| / |B|, to the formula P(A and B) / P(B) from HSS.CP.A.3, explaining why they agree
  3. Find conditional probabilities from sample-space lists, Venn diagrams, and two-way tables by restricting to B
  4. Interpret each conditional probability in terms of the model and its context
  5. Explain that conditioning on B changes the effective sample space to B, so the denominator is the number of B's outcomes

Slides

Interactive presentations perfect for visual learners • 2 slide decks

Slide Video

Watch narrated slides play like a video lesson • Narrated slide playback