Common Core Math - HS Statistics and Probability
Lesson Plan
Analyze decisions and strategies using probability
Goals / Objectives
Analyze a real decision by identifying the strategies, uncertain outcomes, probabilities, and payoffs
Use expected value to compare strategies, and recognize when risk or error-cost asymmetry should modify the expected-value choice
Apply conditional probability to evaluate testing decisions, computing P(condition | positive) and explaining the base-rate effect
Analyze a strategic timing decision (pulling the hockey goalie) by comparing each strategy's net effect on the probability of winning
Communicate a probability-based recommendation that states its assumptions and limitations
Standards
HSS.MD.B.7
HSS.MD.B.7: (+) Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts (e.g., product testing, medical testing, pulling a hockey goalie at the end of a game).
Academic Vocabulary
Not in our source material
Materials
Remediation
Enrichment
Accommodations
Not in our source material