Exercises: Develop a Theoretical Probability Distribution and Find Its Expected Value
Work through each section in order. Show your work where indicated. When you build a probability, separate "the probability of one specific sequence" from "the number of arrangements" that produce that result. Keep fractions over a common denominator so your sum-to-1 check is easy to read.
Recall / Warm-Up
On a multiple-choice test each question has four choices and a guesser is correct with
probability . The questions are independent. What is the probability of getting
the first two specific questions both correct?
A student guesses on every question of a five-question test where each question has four
equally likely choices. Let be the number of questions answered correctly. Which statement
correctly describes the model?
Fluency Practice
For the five-question guessing test (), which expression
correctly gives , the probability of exactly 2 correct?
For the five-question guessing test, compute .
Write your answer as a fraction over a denominator of .
For the five-question guessing test, compute .
Write your answer as a fraction over a denominator of .
The full developed distribution for the five-question guessing test is shown below.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Add the six numerators to verify the distribution is valid. What is the sum of the numerators?
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