Back to Exercise: Evaluate reports based on data

Exercises: Evaluate Reports Based on Data

Each report below makes a claim from data. Work through the four lenses: (1) the sample — who was studied and how were they chosen; (2) the design — does it license association only, or causation; (3) the uncertainty — is a sample size, margin of error, or significance disclosed; and (4) the display — is any graph honest. Write explanation answers in complete sentences. A causal verb ("causes," "raises") needs a randomized experiment; an observational study supports association only.

Grade 11·23 problems·~35 min·Common Core Math - HS Statistics and Probability·group·hss-ic-b-6
Work through problems with immediate feedback
A

Warm-Up: Taking a Report Apart

These problems review the parts of a report and the IC vocabulary you already know.

1.

A headline reads: "New Study: Students Who Drink Coffee Score 15% Higher on Exams." A report has three separable parts — the claim, the evidence, and the source. Which of the following is the claim?

2.

In the same coffee report, the "15% higher" came from comparing students who chose to drink coffee with students who chose not to. No one was assigned to a coffee or no-coffee group. What type of study is this?

3.

The four evaluation lenses are sampling, design, uncertainty, and display. Match each report weakness to its lens. "The report never says how many people were surveyed" is a problem with the   ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲   lens. "A bar chart's y-axis starts at 90 instead of 0" is a problem with the   ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲   lens. (Use one word for each: sampling, design, uncertainty, or display.)

lens for missing sample size:
lens for the misleading y-axis:
B

Fluency: One Lens at a Time

Apply a single lens to each short report.

1.

A report states: "In a survey of shoppers leaving Brand X's flagship store, 92% said Brand X is the best clothing brand." Name the one-word source concern this raises about who paid for or stands to benefit from the result. (One word, starting with a letter — think about conflict of   ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲   .)   ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲ ̲  

conflict of ___:
2.

A website reports: "Our poll found 78% of people support the new policy." It does not say how many people were polled or how they were chosen. Applying the sampling lens, what is the best response?

3.

A report observes that "teens who spend more hours on social media report lower happiness" and headlines it "Social Media Lowers Teen Happiness." The data come from an observational survey. Applying the design lens, what is the precise problem?

4.

An ad claims a supplement makes you "40% more alert." Applying the uncertainty lens, which two pieces of information do you most need before this percentage can be judged as evidence?

5.

A report passes the sampling lens (large random sample) and the design lens (randomized experiment with a significance check), but its only chart uses a y-axis starting at 95 to make a 1-point difference look enormous. Write a one-sentence calibrated verdict that names the strength AND the weakness, rather than declaring the whole report worthless.

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