What You Will Be Able to Do
By the end of this lesson, you should be able to:
- Apply the Addition Rule for
- Explain why the overlap
is subtracted - Compute "or" probabilities from counts and probabilities
Recall: Or, And, and the Venn Overlap
- A or B (union): outcomes in
, in , or both - A and B (intersection): outcomes in both at once
- On a two-circle Venn, the overlap is the intersection
Today the overlap is exactly what we must handle carefully.
King or Heart: How Many Cards?
Draw one card from a standard 52-card deck.
How many cards are a king or a heart?
Try to count them before the next slide. Trust your first instinct — we're going to test it.
The Natural Count: 4 + 13 = 17
The obvious move:
- There are 4 kings
- There are 13 hearts
- So
favorable cards?
This feels right — but let's actually list the cards and check.
List Them: The King of Hearts Repeats
The kings: K K
K
K
— and the hearts include K
.
- The King of Hearts is a king and a heart
- Adding 4 + 13 counted it once as a king, once as a heart
- It got counted twice
Only 16 Distinct Cards Exist
The overlap was counted twice, so subtract it once:
overstated the union by exactly the 1 shared card- The true count of "king or heart" is 16
See the Overlap on a Venn Diagram
The overlap holds the King of Hearts — it belongs to "king or heart," but only once.
Point to the Double-Counted Outcome
Two events:
If you add
Name the card that lives in both events before advancing.
The Overlap You Found Is What We Subtract
You just saw it: adding double-counts the shared outcomes.
The rule simply removes that double-count once.
Now we write the move you already understand as a formula.
The Addition Rule, Written as a Formula
For any two events
- Add the two event probabilities
- Subtract
— the overlap — exactly once
Cards: Apply the Rule Step by Step
Add the two events
Subtract the overlap (the King of Hearts)
Confirm Against the Hand Count
We listed 16 distinct cards that are a king or a heart.
The rule and the by-hand count agree — that's the rule working.
A Die Example With a Bigger Overlap
= even = , = , overlap =
The Subtracted Term Is Always the Overlap
In every case, the term you subtract is
- Cards: the King of Hearts,
- Die: the outcomes
,
Find the overlap first — that's the only new work the rule asks of you.
"Or" Is Inclusive — Keep the Overlap Once
Everyday "or" can mean one or the other, not both. In probability, it doesn't.
- "King or heart" includes the King of Hearts
- The rule keeps the overlap once — not zero times
Your Turn: Apply, Then Confirm
Given
Find
Apply the rule on your own, then sanity-check the result.
Two Common Errors to Watch For
Always adding: forgetting to subtract the overlap
Check for shared outcomes; ignoring them can push a probability above 1.
Exclusive "or": dropping the overlap instead of keeping it once
A or B includes both — keep the overlap once, not zero times.
Add the Two, Subtract the Overlap Once
✓
✓ Subtract because adding double-counts the overlap
✓ "Or" is inclusive — keep the overlap once, not zero
Next: disjoint events make the overlap zero — plus table "or" queries.
Click to begin the narrated lesson
Apply the Addition Rule